And the Oscar for Best Mathematical Performance Goes to …..

Ben Zauzmer

Ben Zauzmer, a Harvard Applied Math graduate who has a 75 per cent success rate in predicting the winners of Oscar Awards every year, has correctly predicted 20 of 21 winners in 2018 Oscars, which is a success rate of 95%.

How does he do it? He gathers thousands of data points on Oscar ceremonies over the past two decades – such as categories movies are nominated in, other award results, and aggregate critic scores – and he uses statistics to calculate how good a predictor each of those metrics is in each Oscar category. Then, he plugs in the numbers and that gives him the % chance that each film will win in each category according to theBoston Globe.

Ben, who writes for The Hollywood Reporter, uses his mathematical model to produceBar Graphs like this:

This year the Best Picture was a close call, but Ben’s Mathematical Prediciton was correct.

Australia has a problem with alcohol and violence. Yet another teenager died this week after being King Hit. According to Forensic Toxicologist, Dr Jennifer Pilgrim, in an article titled Australia, we need to talk about alcohol in The Guardian this week

‘ at least 90 young lives have been taken by single hit assaults in Australia since 2000. The overwhelming majority of these involved alcohol and no other drugs.’

While experts argue whether or not Video Games encourage violent behaviour, one fact remains about Hollywood film fight scenes:

This Hollywood Cliché can Kill

Every Hollywood Action Hero gets into a fight. But no human could survive the fight scene punishment shown in the movies.

Jackie from Straight Ace Learning ( Maths & Movies ) asked Mathspig to come up with a formula for Wolverines super fast super healing powers. He can regenerate or heal in 5 seconds. In the latest Wolverine Movie he becomes mortal ….

Wolverine Facts:

No. Cells in a human/X-man Body

= 75 trillion cells = 75 x 10^{12}

(Mid-point of 60-90 trillion cells cited on the fab AskaBiologist website)

Imagine Wolverine is slashed/shot/wounded in the abdomen.

The Hunger Games is about MATHS. Here are some interesting Hunger Game statistics.

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THE PLOT:

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In Suzanne Collin’s book, The Hunger Games, 12 districts in the land of Panem are suppressed and controlled by a vicious elite, who dress like neon-coloured French courtesans.

Each year the cruel rulers select one teen of each sex between the ages of 12 and 18 from each district to become tributes, who must fight to the death in a televised, sponsor-supported media event called The Hunger Games, set in a staged wilderness.

Only one tribute can survive. Katniss Everdeen and Peeta Mellark from the poor coal-mining District 12 are the local tributes for that year and must play at being star-crossed lovers to gain sponsor support and survive.

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THE MATHS:

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……………………………………………….……..The Reaping…..

Tributes are selected in a process called The Reaping. The names of the, approximately, 2,000 young people in each district are placed in separate barrels for males and females and the names are drawn out of these barrels BUT…

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12 year olds …….. 1 slip

13 year olds …….. 2 slips

14 year olds …….. 3 slips

15 year olds …….. 4 slips

16 year olds …….. 5 slips

17 year olds …….. 6 slips

18 year olds …….. 7 slips

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BUT you can gain extra ‘food’ if you accept for more name slips.

Gale Hawthorne (pictured above), Katnis’ friend from District 12, has 42 slips in the barrel. What are his chances?

We will assume that there are 1,000 male teens and 1,000 female teens in each district and an equal distribution – rounded off – for each age group to 1000/7 = 143 male teens and female teens in each age group.